
Eliza Forsythe
· Associate ProfessorVerifiedUniversity of Illinois Urbana-Champaign · Department of Labor and Employment Relations
Active 2014–2026
About
Eliza Forsythe is an Associate Professor at the School of Labor and Employment Relations. She holds a PhD in Economics from MIT, obtained in 2014, and a BA in Economics and Mathematics from Mills College in 2008. Her research focuses on labor economics, personnel economics, and macroeconomics, with particular attention to firm management of human resources during economic downturns, the macroeconomic effects of firms’ human resource management decisions, and firm hiring behavior. Prior to her current position, she was a Postdoctoral Scholar at the Upjohn Institute for Employment Research from 2014 to 2015. For more information on her research and publications, she maintains a personal website.
Research topics
- Medicine
- Virology
- Political Science
- Economics
- Business
- Economic growth
- Crystallography
- Labour economics
- Engineering
- Law
- Chemistry
- Internal medicine
- Demographic economics
Selected publications
Why don’t eligible workers receive unemployment insurance?
Applied Economics Letters · 2026-01-16
article1st authorCorrespondingRecruiting Intensity, Hires and Vacancies: Evidence from Firm-Level Data
The Economic Journal · 2025-01-09
articleOpen access1st authorCorrespondingAbstract We investigate employer recruiting behaviour, using detailed firm-level data from a national survey of employers hiring recent college graduates. We find that this behaviour is responsive to the business cycle, beliefs about labour market tightness and the intended number of hires. Specifically, employers adjust planned recruiting effort and compensation. We then show that, when firms expend greater recruiting effort, they ultimately hire more individuals per vacancy. These results suggest that, when firms want to increase hires, they adjust both the quantity of vacancies and the recruiting intensity per vacancy. If this is true more broadly in the labour market, it may help explain the breakdown in the standard matching function during the Great Recession.
Computerization of Office Jobs
Journal of Labor Economics · 2025-10-17
articleSenior authorOccupational Job Ladders within and between Firms
SSRN Electronic Journal · 2023-01-01 · 2 citations
articleOpen access1st authorCorrespondingDistributional impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic and the CARES Act
The Journal of Economic Inequality · 2023-04-24 · 17 citations
articleOpen accessSenior authorThe Effect of Minimum Wage Policies on the Wage and Occupational Structure of Establishments
Journal of Labor Economics · 2023-07-17 · 9 citations
article1st authorCorrespondingUsing establishment-level panel data from the Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics program, I estimate the effect of minimum wage increases implemented by 10 states in 2014 and 2015. I show that minimum wage increases lead to wage spillovers within establishments. I find little evidence that minimum wage increases induce establishments to reorganize their occupational mix. Finally, I find that minimum wage increases propagate up the management hierarchy, leading to increased wages for supervisors. Nonetheless, I find that overall wage inequality decreases within establishments after minimum wage increases.
Unemployment Insurance Recipiency During the Covid-19 Pandemic
National Tax Journal · 2023-05-30 · 5 citations
article1st authorCorrespondingI estimate the share of eligible individuals who received unemployment insurance (UI) benefits during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. I use individual data on reported recipiency from the Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplement (CPS-ASEC) survey to validate a UI eligibility algorithm that I then apply to the monthly CPS data. Combined with administrative data on actual payments and adjustments for fraud, I estimate that 88 percent of eligible individuals received UI benefits. When I calculate recipiency by program, I find 98 percent of individuals who were eligible for standard UI received benefits, whereas only 76 percent of individuals who were eligible for Pandemic Unemployment Assistance received benefits.
Replication Data for: Unemployment Insurance Recipiency During the Covid-19 Pandemic
Harvard Dataverse · 2023-05-07
datasetOpen access1st authorCorrespondingThis archive provides the code and data to replicate the analysis in "Unemployment Insurance Recipiency During the Covid-19 Pandemic" published in the National Tax Journal in 2023.
Computerization of White Collar Jobs
SSRN Electronic Journal · 2022-01-01 · 2 citations
articleOpen accessSenior authorYouth Hiring and Labor Market Tightness
AEA Papers and Proceedings · 2022-05-01 · 1 citations
article1st authorCorrespondingIt is well-known that recessions can lead to long-term scarring for young workers. I show that employers hire fewer young workers when there are few job openings per unemployed job seeker, while hiring rates for workers with more than 10 years of potential experience are much less cyclically volatile. During the COVID-19 pandemic, youth employment rates rebounded particularly quickly compared with other groups and historic patterns. I show this is consistent with the historic relationship between tightness and youth hiring rates, suggesting youth scarring from the COVID-19 pandemic may be less severe compared with previous recessions.
Frequent coauthors
- 16 shared
Guido Matías Cortés
- 5 shared
Lisa Kahn
University of Rochester
- 5 shared
Fabian Lange
- 5 shared
David Wiczer
- 3 shared
Russell Weinstein
University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
- 2 shared
Marcus Dillender
National Bureau of Economic Research
- 1 shared
Jhih-Chian Wu
Awards & honors
- Distinguished Alumni Award
- First Decade Achievement
- Special Honorees
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